Saturday, 28 October 2023

US just went in correction mode

 Stoks

  • Closed at 207.68 after hours from last week of 212.75.
  • Earnings for big tech were great but market couldn't understand GOOG with it dropping more than 12% after it released it earnings on Tues AH.
  • Cloud segment missed by 20m but market cap dropped approx 30B in the past 3 days which was ridiculous.
  • Acquired some of the shares via CSP, 400 @ 124.75.
  • TSLA continued its dump after earnings for the big tech, rolled 17 CSPs ranging from 200 to 207.5 to next week.
  • If assigned at 200 closing, will mean 1900 @ 204.41 by next week.
  • Sold CCs on TSLA at 235, will do the same for GOOG probably at 135 next week.
  • NVDA earnings will be in a few weeks, it will be the last before everything settles imo.
  • PF value fell by almost 30K due to rolling puts at a loss but oh well TSLA always give surprises.
  • BP news of buying SuperChargers at their gas stations would mean some additional revenues for Tesla which isn't too bad.
  • 30yr went above n under and above 5%, fed meeting is following week.
  • Consensus is no rate increase but shall see we will.
  • Bought another 19K worth of SSBs for TBL, this round of 3.32% was over subscribed but limit was still high at 47K.
  • Will probably redeem the lower 2.16 for next mth if rates are still above 3.
  • Got into some Areit/Fct/Dbs for TBL.




Down-ed approx 2.9K USD







403284.65 271664.91 90253.21 (1.3643) 







Converted all SGD to USD.

New holdings value included

Holdings





Life
  • Donated $10 to a Direct Hope, a low income youth fund, was quite a rush-ed process. 
  • Only saw thay he was a student from NYP and his license but benefit of doubt.
  • That amount wouldn't impact much, hope its going to the right cause. 
  • Why would there be a minimum donation amount ffs?
  • Tesla Con in 2 weeks, nothing else much...pkl

Saturday, 21 October 2023

LOL TSLA FKED BIG TIME

 Stoks

  • Closed at 212.75 after hours from last week of 251.
  • Just a small 15.23% drop, nothing too much to worry for TSLA bulls.
  • TBH, earnings was like bad-bad compared to last few Qs, didn't expecting operating margin to fall under 8%.
  • Given the miss in deliveries number, earnings to miss should be kind of priced in but too bad it couldn't even beat estimates by 'analysts'.
  • Sold more cars compared to Q3 last year and yet profits was 37% lower due to factory upgrades and AI stuff as claimed.
  • Market didn't like the news and sold off early on Wed at almost 5% and when earnings came in another 5% although CT was said to deliver in end Nov.
  • However he himself said CT will take time to break even and production efficiency will come in 2025 minimally.
  • Basically he was quite bearish about the economy and this pessimism spooked the stock the next day.
  • Based on 3 days earnings rule, share price should stabilize or just fall slightly more in the following week assuming other big techs don't screw up.
  • Fking hell on the puts, hesitated on the buying and lost the opportunity, wanted to save the 1K ended up with more than 15K URL as of post.
  • Will not touch option via to earnings, cb max.
  • Dk is it a pantang, everytime I tell someone about how much I can earn from options, the next thing is straight losses.
  • Will need to hold my urges to sell options at this period, sold JPM and MSFT, left with 49.7% for CSP.
  • Bought more TSLA and got assigned 1x 215 put this week bringing holdings to 275.00383 @ $222.29



Down-ed approx 17K USD




507995.68 129956.04 221457.76 (1.3690)






Redeemed SG MMF.






Credits to some guy.






Life

  • Received Pirit and the grey pants, amazed at the pilot watch given the price point.
  • Bought 2 tone Sub from Cadisen after listing some on Carou, so far only Godzilla is taken.
  • Lazada really very toxic, saw another self claim CF Sub ND for 60, took the bait and fingers crossed.
  • Right upper eyelid stye on the following mon, first time having time.
  • Next week will be end of Oct, bloody hell so fast...pkl




Friday, 13 October 2023

Earnings week

 Stoks

  • Closed at 251 after hours from last week of 260.52
  • War in Israel over the weekends opened markets lower but recovered over the day.
  • Oil creeped up together with USD.
  • CPI/PPI were over expectations but still managed to get bought up.
  • Correction only came on Fri but still wasn't enough for the big 7 to be considered cheap.
  • Bought 10 shares each of TSLA, MSFT and JPM.
  • JPM earnings came in record, with profits increasing by 33% in the last quarter, won't say the same for TSLA, likely a 10% drop on Wed.
  • Considering a put just to test the theory since the past few earnings have lower margins Q after Q which resulted in big drops.
  • There is this 3 days thing where news get toned down after the duration so see how it goes.
  • T-bill for this time came at 3.87% and only 80% got allocated, total amount was 8K from TBL.
  • Will apply for SSB in 2 weeks time and seems like this time will be quite crowded as well.
  • Rolled some puts over to following mth, minimally 5 weeks to max time decay.
  • Thinking of holding so JPM for the long term with CC/CSP.
  • Still earning from TV while waiting for CSPs.





Down-ed approx 300 USD





408448.57 299450.33 38666.77 221227.09 (1.3661)






Withdrew 800 from SG cash account

Life
  • Going for fren's wedding in the evening, another expensive meal while listening to same old conversations.
  • Sold off my Seiko at 176 loss but at least it will serve a better owner from now.
  • Bought another Pirit and a pair of $13 dark grey pants, fingers crossed...pkl

Saturday, 7 October 2023

Priced in for no recession?

 Stoks

  • Closed at 260.52 after hours from last week of 249.95.
  • Deliveries came in on Mon, 435K actual vs 455K revised expected, stock crashed 4% but miraculously rebounded to end off green on the day.
  • Hyundai/Kia adopted the NACS system and officially joins Tesla network.
  • Unemployment benefits was higher based on reports on Thur but still reflected a strong labour market which what the Fed didn't want.
  • Fri supported the claims from thurs with almost twice of expected, this meant that inflation could still be an issue down the road.
  • Despite morning sell offs, markets suddenly took a reversal to the green with big gains in all sectors.
  • TSLA went from lows of 250 to close at green, which happened on Mon as well.
  • Looks like market is pricing no more recession and everything's gonna be good from now on.
  • Opened 3 CSP on JPM, as the biggest US bank no issues right? Have to do some DD on them.
  • Bought $1 of MSFT, TSLA and JPM, fomo why not?
  • Will apply T-bills again with TBL account, given SSB is 3.32% for coming month and MAS allocated 1B, should be above 4.07% for ncb.
  • CPI n PPI data on following Wed, should be higher so more opportunities to sell puts.
  • Itchy fingers went to close and re-opened CSPs on Mon, should have just left it.
  • Took some SG loses after buying AREIT n CICT only to sell at loss, perhaps will consider some SGX shares on TBL TB if discounts are there,
  • Same thing, sell 1+1 monthly puts when required, 43% PF left so far.






Up-ed approx 2.7K USD





Down-ed approx 800 SGD





409248.57 299233.25 44674.98 220998.49 (1.3592)








Redeemed some from TV to manage ratios in account.

Life
  • Looked into Omega AT and PD 1717, itch is coming back and it's a no go.
  • Fren's wedding is next week and another 260 AP gone, rabz...pkl

What a week

 Stoks ATH for US markets after a lot of money pumping, nothing to say much tbh. Big tech keeps going higher and higher and NVDA officially ...