Friday, 25 April 2025

Most likely bottom liao

 Stoks

  • News of de-escalation of tariffs between CN and US swept the market, CN denied while US didn't.
  • Markets loved the news and went up more than 7% for the week for QQQ.
  • Most of the tech stocks have went back up but still negative YTD except a few like NFLX and PLTR.
  • GOOG beat earnings with good results and got sold down the day after while TSLA missed badly and rallied >20% this week as self driving was 'approved' and boss is going back to work.
  • Market manipulation at it's best.
  • Bought a call only to paper hand and see it go up more than 2.5x the value, fts.
  • Always felt like shit when TSLA rallied for no reason, bought 6 at 277 to sell at 283.
  • Net net negative after accounting for TXRH sale.
  • Lesson is fking US market can and will find all sorts of reasons to move.
  • Not much movements for local banks but good to see some recovery this week nonetheless.
  • Around 3% down YTD compared to QQQ 7.38%, may start to see the gap covering if Trump doesn't speak nonsense.

US P/L 269304.15

SG P/L 224210.00

HK P/L 162005.15

Up-ed approx 37K SGD









1.3101 USD FX


New update from TB UI
so new format for holdings










- TXRH
+ MSFT




Life
  • Heater decided to play punk after one of the heat modes went crazy, ordered the same model and got it fixed on thurs.
  • The connecting water hose followed and had to be replaced, thankfully to have access to bao kar liao shops.
  • 1 more week to polling day, nothing much to be surprised...pkl

Thursday, 17 April 2025

Early post for this week due to Good Fri.

 Stoks

  • Quite a positive week for local markets but not so for US markets as Trump continued to wreck havoc across with his relentless nonsense.
  • Powell came out, said no rate cuts since tariffs will be inflation and will not be influenced by President to cut.
  • Saw some slight recovery for STI, banks up slightly and DBS going back up 40 for now.
  • S63 broke new highs despite all these uncertainties around the world.
  • Bought 2.2K shares more of DBS this week, won't be adding anytime more unless it goes to 37 else will just drip in with divs.
  • Went back into US markets a day too early, now tiny red across 5 positions. Reason being USD being cheaper which makes sense changing some to DCA in.
  • Waiting for certain support levels before adding more, no rush to buy tbh.
  • Currently left with 17.7% cash, in future will keep at least 15% cash for a peace of mind war chest.
  • May lose out on opportunity cost but always good to have cash on hand for just in case.
  • Tbill last cut off at 2.3%, time for savers to look in banks/reits before yields get really low.

US P/L 268597.49

SG P/L 186640.14

HK P/L 162005.15

Up-ed approx 65K SGD as investors flock to safer SGD assets.





1.3072 USD FX

188082.43 SGD MMF







+ASML/AMZN/META/TXRH




Life
  • Election day announced on 3rd May on a Sat, ffs.
  • Expect nothing to change, anytime new so be it since prices are only to keep going up.
  • Nothing much for this week...pkl

Friday, 11 April 2025

Cham, down more than 160k in the past week. Ytd officially red.

 Stoks

  • Wasn't expecting such big drops in local 3 on mon after dropping more than 54k last fri.
  • All the counter tariffs here and there saw a big dump in STI, first time sinking more than 8% in STI on a day.
  • Woke up expecting a 50k drop but came out to be a 135k drop with DBS falling 15% at 9am.
  • Did some portfolio changes asap since the drop was expected, now is the time to rebalance and trim counters which had lesser convictions.
  • Sold entire OCBC at 15.30, bought into DBS with 2/3 of the funds. Somehow just prata-ed here and there and ended up sell low and buying high.
  • Did the pf changes math, still similar asset value. Would have been better to just buy the dip more than doing stupid shit.
  • Thanks to orange hair, who manipulated the markets by pausing tariffs after shouting time to buy on wed.
  • Markets had a gigantic rebound on Wed night and Thur morning.
  • Seems like I still haven't learn not to do stupid moves in market crashes after 4 years in.
  • As of closing, only holding DBS, GOOG and cash in MMF.
  • Plan to just slowly DCA into DBS or just make it just enough to replicate previous div payout per amount. 
  • Another 5000 shares will be just right but at this point of uncertainty, I believe negotiations would between US and CN might take place over the weekend.
  • Should i just whack the amount of shares, cash will be left with 118k ish.
  • Future dca dips will have to be very conservative, looking at US market seeming to bottom already.

US P/L 268735.27

SG P/L 121648.55

HK P/L 162005.15

Down-ed approx 128K SGD ffs.





1.3154 USD FX

108014.10 SGD MMF






























Life
  • Went to see sister new BTO at hougang, good to see her have a new phase of life.
  • The inevitable scenario of her moving out will be in around 3 months time, things will def change but that's life.
  • Gotta enjoy every moment from now till then...pkl

Saturday, 5 April 2025

Liberated from the profits thanks to TRUMP

 Stoks

  • Worst worst big drop in the week for now, markets has officially entered a bear market with more than 20% drop from the highs.
  • Both S&P and NASDAQ fell more than 10% in the past 2 days after the mad man decided to blanket tariff the entire world. Expected a u-turn tbh, looking at how markets rallied before that.
  • Anyways, can't do nothing much other than to slowly buy the dips down. Just gotta be patient as other countries may follow CN to retaliate with tariffs to US.
  • Recession seems to be more likely to happen given what may happen if the tariffs really take place.
  • Trimmed some US stocks bought over this week and added MAG.
  • Will make more sense to add individual stocks when prices are lower than usual.
  • Local banks followed the path of big US banks and dropped big, eating into my UR gains.
  • Left w slightly more than 4% cash, plan to trim some from the HK side to fatten up reserves.
  • Bought DBS too hastily at 45.58 before the day of drop, added another 100 at 43.59.
  • Next buy will be 41.65 and plus it is going to ex-div on the following Mon which means very likely to hit the price since there was another big drop in financials today.
  • Looking at TA, there is a gap to fill at 39 :( toh.
  • Perhaps may rotate some OCBC into DBS.
  • So far, still have around 25% and 16% of MOS for both banks, will be sed if it breaks but shall see again.
  • Buy no scare, scared no buy.

US P/L 268786.68

SG P/L 246886.83

HK P/L 178418.38

Down-ed approx 77K SGD from Trump






1.3376 USD FX










+ MSFT AMZN GOOG DBS






Life
  • Went for kyp ROM, count down to the inevitable has begun. House viewing for her next week and reno will commence the following week.
  • Woke up early for QM festival, went back to Senang for the Meepok.
  • Hospital premiums to be deducted this week and pkl...




STI ath, US slight resistance, BTC 118K but...

Stoks STI 4087 HSI 24139 Nasdaq 20585 Funds are constantly flowing into SG, pushing up non banks stocks for the last few weeks. DBS finally ...