Saturday, 29 July 2023

3days rule

 Stoks

  • Legend says there's this 3 day rule after earnings where the stock will continue to go up/down depending on the results.
  • For TSLA's case after its results on wed, the 'correction' continued on Mon with prices reaching as low as 254.12.
  • Surprisingly, buyers came in and ended the day at 269 which was unexpected as majority were saying back to 240s.
  • Share price was relatively flat, Fed increased another 0.25% and at this point the market doesn't seem to care anymore which is good for investors.
  • Thurs had a large sell off probably due to the fed rate increase which seems the lag-effect after every fed decision.
  • However, on the last day of trading, everything went back to normal although TA traders saw a bearish engulfing candle and market closed higher for the week.
  • DCA-ed a little more on SG stocks for the dividend play, joined this tele group where I leech off many OG div investors.
  • Bought 20 more TSLA on thur morning but didn't manage to take advantage when it went back to 255, damn.
  • Current IV is getting lower each week, will be forced to sell csp at prices which I may not want to own at.
  • Still left with more than 60% cash on hand and tbh market very excited now, not feeling the mood to buy.
  • Good week for SG banks, will rebuy once ex div date is announced and TSLA closed at 266.44.

Recovered some UR gains, RG of 1573.78 USD








UR gains increased by ~4.1K














Put 150K USD in 5% TV while selling monthly puts for that locked amt











Life
  • Burden Wang has inflammatory bile according to vet, will have to change diet to the expensive kibble. No more cooked food and old kibble.
  • Contemplating to get a car but at 1.66K per month averaged out or unless an OPC or a see luck COE car?
  • Watched MI7 with TBL, Tom cruise really no horse run. Part 2 will release in one year's time, looking forward to it...pkl

Saturday, 22 July 2023

What was I expecting for earnings?

 Stoks

  • Market expected deliveries not to beat, TSLA managed to beat.
  • Market expected earnings to beat, TSLA managed to beat but at the cost of lower gross and operating margins as a 'car' company.
  • Share price rose to highs of 299 on Wed but closed at 291, fomo-ed in and the rest is history.
  • Initial thoughts were expecting earnings to miss but got influenced by share price since previous NVDA was red before doing the 20% AH jump.
  • Together with the way EM spoke to the market, it clearly didn't understand a Martian way of speaking thus confusion equals sell off.
  • Share price closed at 280 AH, sold down to 262 on Thurs and closed at 258 AH on Fri.
  • Mistakes were made, got greedy and didn't hedge with puts for the 3rd earnings, big lesson.
  • No more options during earnings week and HHH.
  • From last week profits, gave back 28K USD including UR gains based on numbers on TB.
  • Together with the new Nasdaq rebalancing rule, sell down definitely had something to do with the rule. Mon may sell another sell down as people starting to cut loss.
  • Profits lost also due to rolling of options downwards, will stop at 1.5K shares max unless prices go below 200.
  • Allocating remaining back to reits and banks, bought UOB, AIMS, FCT, LREIT and MLT this week.
  • Holding 580 shares at 259.58.

Down-ed 28.3K URG and RG but fx recovered some pf value







 Up-ed 1.7K URG due to good timing for UOB purchase
























Life
  • Burden Wang is experiencing some body issues, hopefully he can recover asap.
  • Made up mind to get a 2yr elantra around 2yrs + but too bad, car has been bought by someone else. 
  • 1 more mth for remaining lease of car, let's see whether any fate towards a car of similar specs.
  • Tried to service the aircon but damn not worth the time...pkl






Friday, 14 July 2023

TSLA hit 285 but managed to close at 281

 Stoks

  • From last Fri's close at 274.43, TSLA went on a shallow V bounce for this week, gaining 1.82% vs 2.53% SPY and 3.6% QQQ tbh an underperform for a 2 beta stock.
  • Managed to buy some at 269 and 267 bringing total holdings to 300@ $268.71.
  • Options profit for this week came to around 4.8K USD which was higher than usual due to selling slightly atm puts.
  • But CPI/PPI came in better than expected and caused USD to weaken among the other big currencies including SGD. Almost 3% depre in this week alone.
  • Ended up with a lower pf value as premiums couldn't cover the fx rate.
  • Current holdings stand at approx 15% stock allocation, will be looking to purchase if prices are good. If not, dca to SG banks just as a diversification.
  • Hoping USD will strengthen in the following weeks, 28 more days to last premium to be paid for 2023.
  • TSLA earnings is happening on Wed, imo won't be able to beat and share price will probably go down to 250s. Deliveries beat happened due to unexpected thus bulls expecting a beat should face a borderline beat/fail.
  • Sold 4 puts each at 257.5/255 and 2 at 262.5, leaving 455K to sell on.

Up-ed 4.8K RG and 3.9 URG but thanks to fx rate...












Life

  • Received 15450 last Sunday after last post was posted, some issues with watch but not putting much high expectations on them.
  • Ironically feeling better towards PD, bloody delivery is take so long compared to previous orders.
  • Went to check out Decathlon shoes but tmd sole is hard af, compared to the usual pair of climbing shoes, the difference is massive....pkl













Saturday, 8 July 2023

TSLA beat-ed deliveries expectation

 Stoks

  • Results for TSLA Q2 deliveries were released on Sun, beating market's target by 4%.
  • Stock immediately rose more than 7% on the next open but slowly trending down as resistance was strong at ~284 which happens to be the top.
  • More n more automakers are converting to NACS via TSLA, remaining few are the stubborn ones like BMW n HYUNDAI etc
  • Long term wise, TSLA should be a solid investment but buying at prices now feels no-go.
  • Took some profit on my 450shares bought last week and sold new weekly puts at 260 n 265 for half of PF value.
  • Positive catalyst for TSLA are becoming more obvious and there isn't much reason for share price to JBB.
  • Feels like a big risk not investing in the market now but saw this phrase from thomas chua, "buy more when you feel like puking and buy less when you feel undefeatable."
  • Bought almost 50K total worth of DBS/OCBC, will be slowly buying in from TSLA premiums.
  • 1 more mth to aviva last premium for the year.




Up approx 6.8K USD from previous week but down 400 SGD from banks


















Life
  • Bought 2 new PD, 1 starbucks and 1 rootbeer gmt based on the reviews from YT.
  • Will be receiving the 15450 by end of this week hopefully.
  • Feeling the urge to get a blusey 116613 but can't make up my mind.
  • 1st week of July has passed, 2 more months to cruise...pkl

Saturday, 1 July 2023

End of Q2

 Stoks

  • Really strong quarter with a few big tech reaching all time highs, AAPL went back to 3T and closed at 193.
  • YTD was approx 55% compared to 17% for SPY and 40% for QQQ.
  • TSLA managed to close higher than previous week at 261, deliveries will be released on Sun.
  • Have a feeling market is pricing for failure, expectations are set at 446K while most Twitter is aiming for 450K and above.
  • Bought 150 more TSLA and 100 GOOG in this week but total stock % allocation is still low at 17%.
  • If share price tanks, will be more willing to sell more puts. It's still a win-win for me, since cash reserves are still at high levels.
  • Took the SGD cash voucher and managed to get $11 worth of rebates in cash.




Up approx 3.3K from last week, due to new stock purchase



















Life
  • Seems like car purchase is not happening as of now, thinking of getting a ND sub or a bluesy/starbucks just to hedge.
  • Still waiting for QC for 15450....pkl

What a week

 Stoks ATH for US markets after a lot of money pumping, nothing to say much tbh. Big tech keeps going higher and higher and NVDA officially ...