Wednesday, 18 May 2022

Greed vs Fear

 Luna/Ust depeg and death spiral

  • Top 10 coin lost 40b over few days together w many investors losing massive amount
  • Moi entire pf was almost 500k at ath but yeah.. greed ended up 140k down
  • Rethinking how sustainable is crypto in the long run after such massive saga
  • Based on what has been said so far, will BTC just be the one and only crypto?
  • Crypto holdings will just be BTC/ETH if I decide to go back in
Stocks
  • Sold most TSLA stock after evaluating diversification, foresee bad markets in the near term but could be wrong based on timing the markets


  • Will include SPY for diversification, lesser returns doesn't matter since main purpose now is to take time off investing
  • Doing ATM wheel strategy on SPY and TSLA, trades will be posted here
  • Idea is monthly ATM puts w premiums will give some discounts on assigned stocks and I will sell asap once assigned assuming within profits and repeat
  • Suitable for stocks if growth pa is less than 20% if not holding the stock will do better








World's current macro
  • Ongoing war between Russia n Ukraine, until this war ends, prices of commodities will continue to rocket in additional to already high inflation caused by m2 supply over past 2 years
  • Almost 30% of money supply in US was printed over past 2 years since 1960s and together with increasing demand and supply/logistics constrains from China
  • Something has to be done to curb demand and by what means? 
  • Increasing rates over time to 2.5%- 3% by 2023 but that would mean losing the OC of using the money to build/improve the country
  • Tough situation for the US govt at this moment and question is will JP allow US to go into a recession. Best thing to do now is to keep cash on hand

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